Mumbai City 3-0 Mohammedan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
54%
1.49
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.97
Over
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.39
2-3
46%
1.75
4-5
22%
3.18
6+
8%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.39 — our 24% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
30%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Mumbai City win — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
54%
Home Win
63%
-8.7pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.9pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.6pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mumbai City The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Mohammedan The Market 19%
-12% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.63/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.13
-9% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / +23%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 74%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
19.5 Crosses 15.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mumbai City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Mohammedan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.12 xG 0.20
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 2
482 Passes 203
86% Pass Accuracy 69%
18 Box Touches 7
15 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2024 Mohammedan Mohammedan 0-1 HT 0-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mumbai City
3-0
AWAY Mohammedan
0.74 xG 0.35
70% Ball Possession 30%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
516 Passes 185
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 10
16 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mumbai City vs Mohammedan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mumbai City ran out comfortable winners over Mohammedan 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mumbai City as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Mumbai City had 70% of the ball to Mohammedan's 30%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.74 to 0.35.

What was the final score of Mumbai City vs Mohammedan?

Mumbai City 3-0 Mohammedan in the India - Super League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mumbai City vs Mohammedan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mumbai City win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Mumbai City 54%, draw 27%, Mohammedan 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mumbai City) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mumbai City) ✗ BTTS Yes
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