ADO 20 1-3 AFC Amsterdamsche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.34
Draw
20%
4.19
Away Pick
56%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.23
Over
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
43%
4-5
27%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
3%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
AFC Amsterdamsche win — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
24%
Home Win
16%
+7.9pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.0pp
56%
Away Win
63%
-6.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.0pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADO 20 The Market 19%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche The Market 67%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.30/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.13
-76% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -3%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
235 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADO 20
1W-0D-1L
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
31.08.2024 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche 3-0 HT 1-0 ADO 20 ADO 20 HOLTW
03.03.2024 ADO 20 ADO 20 3-0 HT 0-0 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADO 20
1-3
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH ADO 20 vs AFC Amsterdamsche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Amsterdamsche beat ADO 20 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had AFC Amsterdamsche as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, ADO 20 had 44% of the ball to AFC Amsterdamsche's 56%, shots finished 12-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for ADO 20 and 1.50 for AFC Amsterdamsche.

What was the final score of ADO 20 vs AFC Amsterdamsche?

ADO 20 1-3 AFC Amsterdamsche in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADO 20 vs AFC Amsterdamsche?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Amsterdamsche win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split ADO 20 24%, draw 20%, AFC Amsterdamsche 56%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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