Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 0-1 Manchester United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.35
No
46%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
17%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.7pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.8pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
70%
-16.0pp
46%
BTTS No
30%
+16.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United U21 EU Bookmakers 30%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
7.42/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/4.52
+150% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -49%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 79%
53.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.4 Crosses 7.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brighton & Hove Alb. U21
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Manchester United U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.48 xG 0.76
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 5
386 Passes 475
88% Pass Accuracy 90%
19 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
08.04.2024 Manchester United U21 Manchester United U21 1-1 HT 1-0 Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brighton & Hove Alb. U21
0-1
AWAY Manchester United U21
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
407 Passes 380
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 vs Manchester United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United U21 squeezed past Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 had 52% of the ball to Manchester United U21's 48%, shots finished 10-14.

What was the final score of Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 vs Manchester United U21?

Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 0-1 Manchester United U21 in the INGPL2 on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 vs Manchester United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 46%, draw 25%, Manchester United U21 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Brighton & Hove Alb. U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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