Mes Rafsanjan 2-3 Foolad Khuzestan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
35%
2.66
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.33
Over 2.5
40%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.51
No
57%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
1.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
18%
7.93
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.8pp
35%
Draw
34%
+1.0pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
72%
-11.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
28%
+11.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
36%
+7.6pp
57%
BTTS No
64%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Rafsanjan EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Foolad Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 39%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -2%
0.96/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.90
+13% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -24%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
274 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 181 · 62%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mes Rafsanjan
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Foolad Khuzestan
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
22.08.2024 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
19.04.2024 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan 0-1 HT 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
03.11.2023 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 3-0 HT 1-0 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan IRAN
13.02.2023 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 2-0 HT 1-0 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan IRAN
05.09.2022 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
18.02.2022 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 1-1 HT 1-0 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan IRAN
POST-MATCH Mes Rafsanjan vs Foolad Khuzestan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foolad Khuzestan nicked a narrow win over Mes Rafsanjan 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 35% / 36% — and on the day Foolad Khuzestan made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mes Rafsanjan had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mes Rafsanjan and 0.17 for Foolad Khuzestan.

What was the final score of Mes Rafsanjan vs Foolad Khuzestan?

Mes Rafsanjan 2-3 Foolad Khuzestan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Rafsanjan vs Foolad Khuzestan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Foolad Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Mes Rafsanjan 29%, draw 35%, Foolad Khuzestan 36%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Foolad Khuzestan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Foolad Khuzestan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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