Plateau United 2-1 Rivers United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.89
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
17%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
49%
+7.6pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.3pp
17%
Away Win
20%
-3.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.5pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plateau United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Rivers United EU Bookmakers 23%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
0.69/0.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.06
-48% / +106% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +19%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plateau United
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Rivers United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
30.12.2024 Rivers United Rivers United 1-1 HT 0-0 Plateau United Plateau United NIJ
16.04.2024 Rivers United Rivers United 3-1 HT 2-0 Plateau United Plateau United NIJ
06.02.2022 Plateau United Plateau United 1-0 HT 1-0 Rivers United Rivers United NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plateau United
2-1
AWAY Rivers United
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Plateau United vs Rivers United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plateau United nicked a narrow win over Rivers United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Plateau United as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Plateau United had 46% of the ball to Rivers United's 54%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Plateau United and 1.33 for Rivers United.

What was the final score of Plateau United vs Rivers United?

Plateau United 2-1 Rivers United in the Nigeria NPFL on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plateau United vs Rivers United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Plateau United win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Plateau United 57%, draw 26%, Rivers United 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Plateau United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Plateau United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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