UTA Arad 0-1 FCSB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
51%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.18
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.33
6+ Goals
8%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 29% vs market 24.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
27%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
25%
-4.4pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.6pp
51%
Away Win
50%
+0.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY FCSB EU Bookmakers 55%
+9% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
0.71/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.07
+16% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
282 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 446 · 84%
13.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.3
23.5 Crosses 13.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTA Arad
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FCSB
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.12 xG 1.88
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
256 Passes 370
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 36
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 FCSB FCSB 2-0 HT 1-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
22.01.2024 FCSB FCSB 4-0 HT 2-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
28.08.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 2-1 HT 1-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
05.03.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 3-1 HT 1-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
19.10.2022 UTA Arad UTA Arad 2-2 HT 1-1 FCSB FCSB ROMK
16.10.2022 FCSB FCSB 2-1 HT 1-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTA Arad
0-1
AWAY FCSB
0.70 xG 1.53
36% Ball Possession 64%
14 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
218 Passes 468
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UTA Arad vs FCSB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FCSB nicked a narrow win over UTA Arad 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had FCSB as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, UTA Arad had 36% of the ball to FCSB's 64%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.70 to 1.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FCSB led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for UTA Arad and 2.00 for FCSB.

What was the final score of UTA Arad vs FCSB?

UTA Arad 0-1 FCSB in the Romania - 1st Division on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTA Arad vs FCSB?

Before kick-off our model rated an FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split UTA Arad 21%, draw 28%, FCSB 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FCSB), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FCSB) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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