Argentinos Juniors 1-0 CA Sarmiento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 26 Jan 2026

📅26/01/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
14%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.67
No
52%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.42
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
26%
4.76
6+ Goals
6%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1.75
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X EV+ ✗
9%
22.25
X/1
11%
3.5
X/2
5%
15.95
X/X
10%
4.87
2/1
4%
32.5
2/2
5%
16.35
2/X
6%
26.0
Value flag · 1/X at 22.25 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
66%
-5.9pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.5pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+2.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
33%
+14.8pp
52%
BTTS No
67%
-14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Argentinos Juniors EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.47/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.56
+5% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
293 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 75%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
24.1 Crosses 14.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Argentinos Juniors
1W-3D-2L
AWAY CA Sarmiento
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.11 xG 0.73
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
410 Passes 144
79% Pass Accuracy 55%
27 Box Touches 14
29 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.08.2024 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 0-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
08.04.2023 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 2-0 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
12.06.2022 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 1-0 HT 1-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
26.04.2022 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 0-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
11.12.2021 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 2-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
30.05.2015 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 0-0 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Argentinos Juniors
1-0
AWAY CA Sarmiento
70% Ball Possession 30%
24 Total Shots 2
11 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
353 Passes 109
84% Pass Accuracy 60%
POST-MATCH Argentinos Juniors vs CA Sarmiento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Argentinos Juniors edged past CA Sarmiento 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Argentinos Juniors as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Argentinos Juniors had 70% of the ball to CA Sarmiento's 30%, shots finished 24-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Sarmiento led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Argentinos Juniors and 0.50 for CA Sarmiento.

What was the final score of Argentinos Juniors vs CA Sarmiento?

Argentinos Juniors 1-0 CA Sarmiento in the Argentina - Premier League on 26/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Argentinos Juniors vs CA Sarmiento?

Before kick-off our model rated a Argentinos Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Argentinos Juniors 61%, draw 26%, CA Sarmiento 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Argentinos Juniors), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Argentinos Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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