Boca Juniors 1-0 Deportivo Riestra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 26 Jan 2026

📅26/01/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
13%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.67
No
62%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.01
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
16%
6.3
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.17
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
19.2
X/1 EV+ ✓
31%
3.66
X/2
4%
11.25
X/X
15%
3.84
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
5%
11.4
2/X
7%
21.8
Value flag · X/1 at 3.66 — our 31% vs market 21.9%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
57%
+2.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
13%
Away Win
16%
-3.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
33%
+4.5pp
62%
BTTS No
67%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boca Juniors EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
1.66/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.21
+15% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +20%
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
460 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 173 · 63%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
23.0 Crosses 11.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boca Juniors
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Riestra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.15 xG 1.28
84% Ball Possession 16%
23 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 2
564 Passes 57
90% Pass Accuracy 46%
36 Box Touches 8
61 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2024 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boca Juniors
1-0
AWAY Deportivo Riestra
80% Ball Possession 20%
19 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 1
505 Passes 77
88% Pass Accuracy 50%
POST-MATCH Boca Juniors vs Deportivo Riestra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boca Juniors nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Riestra 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Boca Juniors as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Boca Juniors had 80% of the ball to Deportivo Riestra's 20%, shots finished 19-6.

What was the final score of Boca Juniors vs Deportivo Riestra?

Boca Juniors 1-0 Deportivo Riestra in the Argentina - Premier League on 26/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boca Juniors vs Deportivo Riestra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boca Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Boca Juniors 59%, draw 28%, Deportivo Riestra 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boca Juniors), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Boca Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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