Boca Juniors 1-1 Deportivo Riestra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 28 Oct 2024

📅28/10/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.77
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.22
6+ Goals
9%
20.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 31% vs market 30.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.06
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
16.05
X/1
13%
3.69
X/2
8%
11.3
X/X
14%
4.48
2/1
10%
27.5
2/2
8%
9.86
2/X
7%
17.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-10.5pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.4pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boca Juniors EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 19%
-2% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.58/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.29
+3% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -13%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 67%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
22.5 Crosses 12.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boca Juniors
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Riestra
2.15 xG 1.28
84% Ball Possession 16%
23 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 2
564 Passes 57
90% Pass Accuracy 46%
36 Box Touches 8
61 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Boca Juniors vs Deportivo Riestra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boca Juniors and Deportivo Riestra shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Boca Juniors at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Boca Juniors had 84% of the ball to Deportivo Riestra's 16%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 2.15 to 1.28.

What was the final score of Boca Juniors vs Deportivo Riestra?

Boca Juniors 1-1 Deportivo Riestra in the Argentina - Premier League on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boca Juniors vs Deportivo Riestra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boca Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Boca Juniors 48%, draw 30%, Deportivo Riestra 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Boca Juniors), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boca Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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