Atletico Tucuman 1-0 Lanus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 28 Oct 2024

📅28/10/2024 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.62
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.25
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
15.0
X/1
16%
3.85
X/2
8%
10.1
X/X
15%
4.05
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
10%
8.83
2/X
5%
16.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.4pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.5pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Tucuman EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Lanus EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -18%
1.38/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.32
-1% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
22.2 Crosses 16.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Tucuman
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Lanus
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.98 xG 1.72
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
285 Passes 348
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.06.2023 Lanus Lanus 2-1 HT 2-1 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
15.06.2022 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 2-1 HT 0-1 Lanus Lanus ARJ
17.07.2021 Lanus Lanus 4-2 HT 2-1 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
07.03.2021 Lanus Lanus 2-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
23.02.2020 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 2-2 HT 1-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
07.10.2018 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 0-0 HT 0-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Tucuman
1-0
AWAY Lanus
2.51 xG 0.45
51% Ball Possession 49%
22 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 0
11 Corners 2
261 Passes 245
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
47 Box Touches 11
26 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Tucuman vs Lanus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Tucuman squeezed past Lanus 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Tucuman as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Tucuman had 51% of the ball to Lanus's 49%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 2.51 to 0.45 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Atletico Tucuman's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lanus led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico Tucuman and 1.83 for Lanus.

What was the final score of Atletico Tucuman vs Lanus?

Atletico Tucuman 1-0 Lanus in the Argentina - Premier League on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Tucuman vs Lanus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Atletico Tucuman 46%, draw 30%, Lanus 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Tucuman), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Tucuman) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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