Girona vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Girona v Rayo Vallecano — Team-Based Signals
Girona vs Rayo Vallecano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Girona
İS1
2-2
HT 2-1
Girona
İS1
2-2
HT 1-1
Rayo Vallecano
İS1
1-2
HT 1-1
Rayo Vallecano
İSPK
0-2
HT 0-2
Rayo Vallecano
İS2
Girona 3-0 Rayo Vallecano — Actual Match Statistics
Girona swept aside Rayo Vallecano 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Girona as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Girona had 55% of the ball to Rayo Vallecano's 45%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 2.17 to 0.55.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Girona and 1.67 for Rayo Vallecano.
What was the final score of Girona vs Rayo Vallecano?
Girona 3-0 Rayo Vallecano in the Spain - Primera Liga on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Girona vs Rayo Vallecano?
Before kick-off our model rated a Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Girona 55%, draw 23%, Rayo Vallecano 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Girona), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.