Girona vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Girona v Rayo Vallecano — Team-Based Signals
Girona vs Rayo Vallecano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Girona
İS1
2-2
HT 2-1
Girona
İS1
2-2
HT 1-1
Rayo Vallecano
İS1
1-2
HT 1-1
Rayo Vallecano
İSPK
0-2
HT 0-2
Rayo Vallecano
İS2
1-2
HT 1-1
Girona
İS2
Girona 3-1 Rayo Vallecano — Actual Match Statistics
Girona got the better of Rayo Vallecano 3-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Girona made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Girona had 55% of the ball to Rayo Vallecano's 45%, shots finished 18-21, expected goals 2.95 to 1.49.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Girona and 1.67 for Rayo Vallecano.
What was the final score of Girona vs Rayo Vallecano?
Girona 3-1 Rayo Vallecano in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Girona vs Rayo Vallecano?
Before kick-off our model rated a Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Girona 39%, draw 25%, Rayo Vallecano 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Girona), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.