Tenerife 0-1 Mallorca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 17 Jan 2024

📅17/01/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
30%
2.7
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.36
Over 2.5
42%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.4
No
55%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
1.83
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
7.68
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.01
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
9%
15.15
X/1
15%
4.89
X/2
13%
5.57
X/X
15%
2.99
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
17%
4.8
2/X
6%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-3.2pp
30%
Draw
33%
-3.1pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
70%
-11.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
30%
+11.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
38%
+7.6pp
55%
BTTS No
62%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tenerife EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Mallorca EU Bookmakers 34%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.90/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.91
+57% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +107% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 72%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
12.3 Crosses 22.3
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tenerife
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Mallorca
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.48 xG 1.59
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
341 Passes 279
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2021 Tenerife Tenerife 0-1 HT 0-1 Mallorca Mallorca İS2
03.10.2020 Mallorca Mallorca 2-0 HT 1-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
22.02.2019 Tenerife Tenerife 2-2 HT 0-1 Mallorca Mallorca İS2
06.10.2018 Mallorca Mallorca 4-1 HT 2-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
25.02.2017 Mallorca Mallorca 1-4 HT 1-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
22.09.2016 Tenerife Tenerife 0-0 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tenerife
0-1
AWAY Mallorca
0.72 xG 0.66
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
371 Passes 353
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
13 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Tenerife vs Mallorca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mallorca nicked a narrow win over Tenerife 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Mallorca found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tenerife had 50% of the ball to Mallorca's 50%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.72 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mallorca led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tenerife and 1.67 for Mallorca.

What was the final score of Tenerife vs Mallorca?

Tenerife 0-1 Mallorca in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tenerife vs Mallorca?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mallorca win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tenerife 33%, draw 30%, Mallorca 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mallorca), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mallorca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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