Osasuna 0-2 Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 17 Jan 2024

Osasuna
0-2 HT 0-0
Real Sociedad
📅17/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - Copa del Rey – 2023/2024

Osasuna vs Real Sociedad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.45
Over 2.5
42%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
18%
6.45
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
5.58
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
8%
15.65
X/1
12%
6.33
X/2
19%
4.32
X/X
15%
3.34
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
17%
3.28
2/X
7%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.2pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.3pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+1.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
65%
-6.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
35%
+6.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.3pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Osasuna v Real Sociedad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osasuna EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 46%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -62% / -62%
0.26/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/2.37
-15% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -68%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 78%
8.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
12.7 Crosses 25.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Osasuna vs Real Sociedad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osasuna
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Real Sociedad
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.73 xG 1.40
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
270 Passes 430
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.12.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
21.07.2023 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-3 Osasuna Osasuna HAZ
28.04.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 0-2 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
31.12.2022 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 2-0 HT 1-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
27.07.2022 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-0 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna HAZ
27.02.2022 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-0 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1

Osasuna 0-2 Real Sociedad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osasuna
0-2
AWAY Real Sociedad
0.34 xG 2.28
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 5
207 Passes 364
65% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Osasuna vs Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad beat Osasuna 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Sociedad as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Osasuna had 42% of the ball to Real Sociedad's 58%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 0.34 to 2.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Osasuna and 1.33 for Real Sociedad.

What was the final score of Osasuna vs Real Sociedad?

Osasuna 0-2 Real Sociedad in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osasuna vs Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Osasuna 27%, draw 30%, Real Sociedad 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Sociedad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Sociedad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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