Valencia vs Celta Vigo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valencia v Celta Vigo — Team-Based Signals
Valencia vs Celta Vigo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Celta Vigo
İS1
1-2
HT 0-1
Valencia
İS1
3-0
HT 1-0
Celta Vigo
İS1
2-0
HT 1-0
Celta Vigo
İS1
1-2
HT 1-1
Valencia
İS1
2-0
HT 0-0
Celta Vigo
İS1
Valencia 1-3 Celta Vigo — Actual Match Statistics
Celta Vigo got the better of Valencia 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Celta Vigo found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Valencia had 63% of the ball to Celta Vigo's 37%, shots finished 20-15, expected goals 2.09 to 1.88.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valencia had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Valencia and 0.33 for Celta Vigo.
What was the final score of Valencia vs Celta Vigo?
Valencia 1-3 Celta Vigo in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valencia vs Celta Vigo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Valencia 40%, draw 30%, Celta Vigo 30%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.