Foggia Calcio 2-1 Crotone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Feb 2024

📅26/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.56
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.62
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foggia Calcio EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Crotone EU Bookmakers 42%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
1.36/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.29
+25% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
222 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foggia Calcio
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Crotone
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
44% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Crotone Crotone 2-1 HT 1-1 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
31.05.2023 Crotone Crotone 2-2 HT 2-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
27.05.2023 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 1-0 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
11.02.2023 Crotone Crotone 1-1 HT 0-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
16.11.2022 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 2-0 HT 1-0 Crotone Crotone İTCK
15.10.2022 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 1-0 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Foggia Calcio
2-1
AWAY Crotone
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Foggia Calcio vs Crotone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foggia Calcio nicked a narrow win over Crotone 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Foggia Calcio made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Foggia Calcio had 42% of the ball to Crotone's 58%, shots finished 14-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Foggia Calcio had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Foggia Calcio and 0.83 for Crotone.

What was the final score of Foggia Calcio vs Crotone?

Foggia Calcio 2-1 Crotone in the Italy - Serie C on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foggia Calcio vs Crotone?

Before kick-off our model rated an Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Foggia Calcio 35%, draw 28%, Crotone 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Crotone) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
26 Feb 2024
22:45 Virtus Francavilla vs SS Monopoli Analysis →
22:45 Legnago Salus vs Atalanta II Analysis →
22:45 Juve Stabia vs Torre Neapolis Analysis →
22:45 Benevento vs Sorrento Calcio Analysis →