Juve Stabia 1-0 Torre Neapolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Feb 2024

📅26/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.45
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
27%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.86
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.09
6+ Goals
9%
19.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 31% vs market 29.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
64%
-16.6pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.1pp
27%
Away Win
14%
+12.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.4pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juve Stabia EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Torre Neapolis EU Bookmakers 17%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.45/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/2.08
-16% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -27%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juve Stabia
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Torre Neapolis
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.11.2023 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 3-5 HT 0-2 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTCK
21.10.2023 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 1-2 HT 0-1 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTC
07.01.2023 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 1-1 HT 0-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTC
11.09.2022 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 0-2 HT 0-0 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
13.03.2022 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 3-0 HT 3-0 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
30.10.2021 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 2-1 HT 0-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juve Stabia
1-0
AWAY Torre Neapolis
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Juve Stabia vs Torre Neapolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juve Stabia squeezed past Torre Neapolis 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Juve Stabia as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Juve Stabia had 44% of the ball to Torre Neapolis's 56%, shots finished 14-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juve Stabia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Juve Stabia and 1.50 for Torre Neapolis.

What was the final score of Juve Stabia vs Torre Neapolis?

Juve Stabia 1-0 Torre Neapolis in the Italy - Serie C on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juve Stabia vs Torre Neapolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juve Stabia win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Juve Stabia 48%, draw 26%, Torre Neapolis 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juve Stabia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Juve Stabia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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