Olancho 1-0 Genesis PN — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 26 Feb 2024

Olancho
1-0 HT 0-0
Genesis PN
📅26/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Honduras - National League Apertura – 2025/2026

Olancho vs Genesis PN Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-5.4pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.4pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Olancho v Genesis PN — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olancho EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 26%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.55/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.13
-8% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Olancho vs Genesis PN Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olancho
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Genesis PN
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
3 Corners 4
The Meetings
30.10.2023 Genesis PN 2-2 HT 1-1 Olancho Olancho HON
04.09.2023 Olancho Olancho 1-2 HT 1-1 Genesis PN HON
POST-MATCH Olancho vs Genesis PN
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olancho nicked a narrow win over Genesis PN 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Olancho as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Genesis PN led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Olancho and 2.00 for Genesis PN.

What was the final score of Olancho vs Genesis PN?

Olancho 1-0 Genesis PN in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olancho vs Genesis PN?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olancho win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Olancho 45%, draw 30%, Genesis PN 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olancho), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Olancho) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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