Vida 3-4 CD Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 26 Feb 2024

📅26/02/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.8pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vida EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.16/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/0.00
-15% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vida
2W-3D-1L
AWAY CD Real Sociedad
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
26.11.2023 Vida Vida 1-1 HT 1-1 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
22.09.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-0 HT 0-0 Vida Vida HON
03.04.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 1-0 HT 0-0 Vida Vida HON
05.02.2023 Vida Vida 2-1 HT 1-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
17.10.2022 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-0 HT 0-0 Vida Vida HON
14.08.2022 Vida Vida 2-0 HT 0-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
POST-MATCH Vida vs CD Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Real Sociedad squeezed past Vida 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day CD Real Sociedad made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vida had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vida and 0.50 for CD Real Sociedad.

What was the final score of Vida vs CD Real Sociedad?

Vida 3-4 CD Real Sociedad in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vida vs CD Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vida 34%, draw 26%, CD Real Sociedad 40%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Real Sociedad), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Real Sociedad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
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