Export Sebaco 0-2 Diriangen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 26 Feb 2024

📅26/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
47%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
19%
+10.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
47%
Away Win
57%
-9.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Diriangen EU Bookmakers 61%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
0.93/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.04
-18% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -1%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
280 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Export Sebaco
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Diriangen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.12.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 3-0 HT 2-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
04.12.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-2 HT 0-2 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
06.11.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-2 HT 1-2 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
31.08.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 2-1 HT 1-1 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
21.04.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 5-1 HT 2-1 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
27.02.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-2 HT 1-1 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
POST-MATCH Export Sebaco vs Diriangen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diriangen got the better of Export Sebaco 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Diriangen as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Diriangen led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Export Sebaco and 2.67 for Diriangen.

What was the final score of Export Sebaco vs Diriangen?

Export Sebaco 0-2 Diriangen in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Export Sebaco vs Diriangen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Diriangen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Export Sebaco 29%, draw 24%, Diriangen 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diriangen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Diriangen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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