Jalapa 1-0 Orgánica Masachapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 26 Feb 2024

📅26/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
19%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+0.6pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.8pp
19%
Away Win
23%
-4.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jalapa EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Orgánica Masachapa EU Bookmakers 27%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.86/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/2.11
-49% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jalapa
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Orgánica Masachapa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2023 Orgánica Masachapa 3-2 HT 2-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
31.08.2023 Jalapa Jalapa 2-0 HT 2-0 Orgánica Masachapa NİK
POST-MATCH Jalapa vs Orgánica Masachapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jalapa edged past Orgánica Masachapa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Jalapa as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Jalapa and 1.50 for Orgánica Masachapa.

What was the final score of Jalapa vs Orgánica Masachapa?

Jalapa 1-0 Orgánica Masachapa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jalapa vs Orgánica Masachapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jalapa win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Jalapa 52%, draw 29%, Orgánica Masachapa 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jalapa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jalapa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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