Obolon Kyiv 1-1 Chornomorets Odessa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 26 Feb 2024

📅26/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
31%
-2.6pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.7pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.4pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Obolon Kyiv EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 45%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -25%
0.41/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.84
-60% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -46%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
262 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Obolon Kyiv
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 17
1 Corners 3
12.08.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 2-0 HT 1-0 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv UKR
POST-MATCH Obolon Kyiv vs Chornomorets Odessa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Obolon Kyiv and Chornomorets Odessa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 33% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

What was the final score of Obolon Kyiv vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Obolon Kyiv 1-1 Chornomorets Odessa in the Ukraine - Premier League on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Obolon Kyiv vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chornomorets Odessa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Obolon Kyiv 28%, draw 33%, Chornomorets Odessa 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chornomorets Odessa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chornomorets Odessa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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