Zorya Luhansk 1-0 Vorskla Poltava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 26 Feb 2024

Zorya Luhansk
1-0 HT 1-0
Vorskla Poltava
📅26/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Ukraine - Premier League – 2023/2024

Zorya Luhansk vs Vorskla Poltava Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
58%
1.9
Over 2.5
42%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+9.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-9.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-11.3pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zorya Luhansk v Vorskla Poltava — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zorya Luhansk EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Vorskla Poltava EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.35/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.48
+15% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
369 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0

Zorya Luhansk vs Vorskla Poltava Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zorya Luhansk
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Vorskla Poltava
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.08.2023 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 1-2 HT 0-1 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
05.03.2023 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 2-3 HT 2-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
23.08.2022 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 3-1 HT 2-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
29.08.2021 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 1-0 HT 0-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
17.04.2021 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 4-2 HT 3-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
08.11.2020 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 0-0 HT 0-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR

Zorya Luhansk 1-0 Vorskla Poltava — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zorya Luhansk
1-0
AWAY Vorskla Poltava
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 7
5 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Zorya Luhansk vs Vorskla Poltava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zorya Luhansk squeezed past Vorskla Poltava 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Zorya Luhansk found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Zorya Luhansk had 46% of the ball to Vorskla Poltava's 54%, shots finished 6-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zorya Luhansk had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Zorya Luhansk and 1.33 for Vorskla Poltava.

What was the final score of Zorya Luhansk vs Vorskla Poltava?

Zorya Luhansk 1-0 Vorskla Poltava in the Ukraine - Premier League on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zorya Luhansk vs Vorskla Poltava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zorya Luhansk win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Zorya Luhansk 38%, draw 27%, Vorskla Poltava 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zorya Luhansk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zorya Luhansk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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