Dourados Atlético 0-2 Caxias — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 26 Feb 2025

📅26/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.5
Draw
23%
2.83
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
14%
X/1
21%
X/2
22%
X/X
3%
2/1
3%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
25%
+8.6pp
24%
Draw
32%
-8.1pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.1pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dourados Atlético EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Caxias EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
240 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Dourados Atlético vs Caxias
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caxias saw off Dourados Atlético 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Caxias as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Dourados Atlético vs Caxias?

Dourados Atlético 0-2 Caxias in the Brazil - Cup on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dourados Atlético vs Caxias?

Before kick-off our model rated an Caxias win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dourados Atlético 34%, draw 24%, Caxias 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caxias), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Caxias) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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