Pouso Alegre 0-2 Atletico Paranaense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 26 Feb 2025

📅26/02/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
5.34
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
39%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
16%
+12.4pp
32%
Draw
25%
+7.3pp
39%
Away Win
59%
-19.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.6pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pouso Alegre EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Paranaense EU Bookmakers 62%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.29/1.97
+36% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -72%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
225 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
Crosses 15.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pouso Alegre
0-2
AWAY Atletico Paranaense
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pouso Alegre vs Atletico Paranaense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Paranaense saw off Pouso Alegre 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 32% / 39% — and on the day Atletico Paranaense made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Pouso Alegre had 49% of the ball to Atletico Paranaense's 51%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of Pouso Alegre vs Atletico Paranaense?

Pouso Alegre 0-2 Atletico Paranaense in the Brazil - Cup on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pouso Alegre vs Atletico Paranaense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pouso Alegre 29%, draw 32%, Atletico Paranaense 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Paranaense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Paranaense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BRK More Brazil - Cup
26 Feb 2025
01:00 Maranhao vs Vitoria Analysis →
01:30 Maringa vs Juventude Analysis →
01:30 Barcelona BA vs Athletic Club Analysis →
02:00 Operario MS vs Criciuma Analysis →
03:30 CEOV Operario vs Sport Recife Analysis →
22:00 Dourados Atlético vs Caxias Analysis →