IFK Mariehamn 0-0 Haka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 26 Feb 2025

📅26/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
51%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.21
Over 2.5
41%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.55
No
57%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
4.22
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
18%
2.78
6+ Goals
11%
7.89
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.22 — our 35% vs market 17.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
30%
-5.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
51%
Away Win
45%
+5.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
41%
+17.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
59%
-17.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
60%
-16.9pp
57%
BTTS No
40%
+16.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Haka EU Bookmakers 49%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.00/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.01
-38% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Mariehamn
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Haka
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.97 xG 1.92
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
312 Passes 361
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.07.2024 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-3 HT 0-2 Haka Haka FİN
07.06.2024 Haka Haka 2-0 HT 1-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
22.09.2023 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 2-1 HT 1-1 Haka Haka FİN
11.08.2023 Haka Haka 1-1 HT 0-1 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
13.05.2023 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 2-1 HT 1-1 Haka Haka FİN
06.08.2022 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 2-0 HT 1-0 Haka Haka FİN
POST-MATCH IFK Mariehamn vs Haka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Mariehamn and Haka fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Haka at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, IFK Mariehamn had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for IFK Mariehamn and 1.33 for Haka.

What was the final score of IFK Mariehamn vs Haka?

IFK Mariehamn 0-0 Haka in the Finland - League Cup on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Mariehamn vs Haka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Haka win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split IFK Mariehamn 24%, draw 24%, Haka 51%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Haka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Haka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FLK More Finland - League Cup
26 Feb 2025
19:00 SJK Seinajoki vs Oulu Analysis →