Al Nejmeh 3-1 Shabab Baalbeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 26 Feb 2025

Al Nejmeh
3-1
Shabab Baalbeck
📅26/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Lebanon - Premier League – 2024/2025

Al Nejmeh vs Shabab Baalbeck Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.25
Draw
19%
5.15
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.75
No
58%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
76%
-8.7pp
19%
Draw
17%
+2.0pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+6.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
32%
+10.2pp
58%
BTTS No
68%
-10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Nejmeh v Shabab Baalbeck — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nejmeh EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Shabab Baalbeck EU Bookmakers 9%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.41/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/4.00
-40% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -48%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
392 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Al Nejmeh vs Shabab Baalbeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nejmeh saw off Shabab Baalbeck 3-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Nejmeh as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

What was the final score of Al Nejmeh vs Shabab Baalbeck?

Al Nejmeh 3-1 Shabab Baalbeck in the Lebanon - Premier League on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nejmeh vs Shabab Baalbeck?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nejmeh win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Al Nejmeh 67%, draw 19%, Shabab Baalbeck 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nejmeh), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nejmeh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
26 Feb 2025
00:00 Shabab Al Ghazieh vs Tadamon Sour Analysis →
00:00 Racing Beirut vs Bourj Analysis →