Shabab Al Ghazieh 2-1 Tadamon Sour — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 26 Feb 2025

📅26/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.04
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
39%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
2%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+6.5pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.4pp
39%
Away Win
52%
-13.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.5pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shabab Al Ghazieh EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Tadamon Sour EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
292 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Shabab Al Ghazieh vs Tadamon Sour
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shabab Al Ghazieh nicked a narrow win over Tadamon Sour 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 33% / 39% — and on the day Shabab Al Ghazieh made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Shabab Al Ghazieh vs Tadamon Sour?

Shabab Al Ghazieh 2-1 Tadamon Sour in the Lebanon - Premier League on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shabab Al Ghazieh vs Tadamon Sour?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tadamon Sour win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Shabab Al Ghazieh 28%, draw 33%, Tadamon Sour 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tadamon Sour) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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