Al Ettifaq 1-0 Al Taawon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 26 Feb 2025

📅26/02/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.13
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.37
6+ Goals
10%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 29% vs market 25.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.3pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ettifaq EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 33%
-11% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +26%
1.36/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.26
-11% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +67%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
339 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
19.1 Crosses 18.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ettifaq
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Taawon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.83 xG 1.51
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
330 Passes 392
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 14
29 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
27.05.2024 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
16.12.2023 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
09.04.2023 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
16.10.2022 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
05.05.2022 Al Taawon Al Taawon 0-4 HT 0-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ettifaq
1-0
AWAY Al Taawon
0.52 xG 0.39
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
436 Passes 380
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 9
12 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ettifaq vs Al Taawon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ettifaq nicked a narrow win over Al Taawon 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Al Ettifaq made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Al Ettifaq had 54% of the ball to Al Taawon's 46%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 0.52 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Taawon led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Ettifaq and 1.00 for Al Taawon.

What was the final score of Al Ettifaq vs Al Taawon?

Al Ettifaq 1-0 Al Taawon in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ettifaq vs Al Taawon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ettifaq win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Ettifaq 37%, draw 29%, Al Taawon 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ettifaq), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ettifaq) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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