IR Reykjavik 3-2 Grindavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 26 Feb 2026

📅26/02/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.47
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
17%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
27%
Over 2.5
73%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.32
No
36%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
64%
+2.4pp
17%
Draw
18%
-1.9pp
17%
Away Win
18%
-0.7pp
64%
BTTS Yes
72%
-7.2pp
36%
BTTS No
28%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Grindavik EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / -18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
395 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IR Reykjavik
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Grindavik
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
06.09.2025 Grindavik Grindavik 3-1 HT 2-1 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik İZL1
27.06.2025 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik 6-1 HT 1-0 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
12.07.2024 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik 3-0 HT 0-0 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
10.05.2024 Grindavik Grindavik 1-1 HT 1-0 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik İZL1
24.05.2022 Grindavik Grindavik 1-2 HT 0-1 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik İZK
POST-MATCH IR Reykjavik vs Grindavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IR Reykjavik edged past Grindavik 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had IR Reykjavik as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (73%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, IR Reykjavik had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for IR Reykjavik and 1.20 for Grindavik.

What was the final score of IR Reykjavik vs Grindavik?

IR Reykjavik 3-2 Grindavik in the Iceland - League Cup on 26/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IR Reykjavik vs Grindavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a IR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split IR Reykjavik 66%, draw 17%, Grindavik 17%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IR Reykjavik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (IR Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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