İA Akranes 2-1 Valur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 26 Feb 2026

📅26/02/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
42%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.35
No
36%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.9pp
18%
Draw
23%
-4.5pp
42%
Away Win
33%
+8.5pp
64%
BTTS Yes
70%
-6.5pp
36%
BTTS No
30%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Valur EU Bookmakers 37%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.41/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/3.00
+35% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -41%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İA Akranes
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Valur
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
1.05 xG 2.82
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
276 Passes 403
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 43
23 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.08.2025 İA Akranes İA Akranes 2-2 HT 0-2 Valur Valur İZL
10.05.2025 Valur Valur 6-1 HT 1-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
15.02.2025 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-1 Valur Valur İZLK
26.10.2024 Valur Valur 6-1 HT 4-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
28.06.2024 İA Akranes İA Akranes 3-2 HT 2-1 Valur Valur İZL
07.04.2024 Valur Valur 2-0 HT 1-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
POST-MATCH İA Akranes vs Valur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İA Akranes squeezed past Valur 2-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 18% / 42%) promised a tight game; İA Akranes found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for İA Akranes and 3.17 for Valur.

What was the final score of İA Akranes vs Valur?

İA Akranes 2-1 Valur in the Iceland - League Cup on 26/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İA Akranes vs Valur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split İA Akranes 40%, draw 18%, Valur 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Valur) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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