İA Akranes 2-2 Valur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 5 Aug 2025

📅05/08/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.75
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
60%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
23%
-2.3pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.1pp
60%
Away Win
54%
+5.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.8pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Valur EU Bookmakers 58%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -26%
1.29/2.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.40
-32% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 84%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
19.5 Crosses 18.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İA Akranes
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Valur
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.13 xG 2.86
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
266 Passes 448
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 47
22 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2025 Valur Valur 6-1 HT 1-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
15.02.2025 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-1 Valur Valur İZLK
26.10.2024 Valur Valur 6-1 HT 4-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
28.06.2024 İA Akranes İA Akranes 3-2 HT 2-1 Valur Valur İZL
07.04.2024 Valur Valur 2-0 HT 1-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
20.03.2024 Valur Valur 1-1 HT 1-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İA Akranes
2-2
AWAY Valur
0.73 xG 2.66
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
318 Passes 224
73% Pass Accuracy 69%
25 Box Touches 28
28 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İA Akranes vs Valur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İA Akranes and Valur couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Valur at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, İA Akranes had 58% of the ball to Valur's 42%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 0.73 to 2.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for İA Akranes and 3.00 for Valur.

What was the final score of İA Akranes vs Valur?

İA Akranes 2-2 Valur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 05/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İA Akranes vs Valur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split İA Akranes 21%, draw 19%, Valur 60%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Valur) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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