Coalville Town 1-0 Mickleover Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 26 Mar 2024

📅26/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.4pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.2pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coalville Town EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Mickleover Sports EU Bookmakers 42%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
3.30/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.48
+119% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coalville Town
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Mickleover Sports
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
21 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2022 Coalville Town Coalville Town 4-1 HT 1-0 Mickleover Sports İNGNLP
16.08.2022 Mickleover Sports 2-4 HT 2-2 Coalville Town Coalville Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coalville Town
1-0
AWAY Mickleover Sports
53% Ball Possession 47%
21 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Coalville Town vs Mickleover Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coalville Town nicked a narrow win over Mickleover Sports 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Coalville Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Coalville Town had 53% of the ball to Mickleover Sports's 47%, shots finished 21-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Coalville Town had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Coalville Town and 1.50 for Mickleover Sports.

What was the final score of Coalville Town vs Mickleover Sports?

Coalville Town 1-0 Mickleover Sports in the England - Non League Premier on 26/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coalville Town vs Mickleover Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mickleover Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Coalville Town 33%, draw 29%, Mickleover Sports 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mickleover Sports) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mickleover Sports) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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