Whitby Town 1-2 United of Manchester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 26 Mar 2024

Whitby Town
1-2
United of Manchester
📅26/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2023/2024

Whitby Town vs United of Manchester Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.92
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
24%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
48%
+6.6pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.2pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-3.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.4pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Whitby Town v United of Manchester — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Whitby Town EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY United of Manchester EU Bookmakers 31%
-8% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.44/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.12
-18% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +47%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Whitby Town vs United of Manchester Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Whitby Town
2W-2D-1L
AWAY United of Manchester
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.09.2023 United of Manchester United of Manchester 1-1 HT 1-1 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
07.01.2023 United of Manchester United of Manchester 2-2 HT 0-1 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
20.08.2022 Whitby Town Whitby Town 0-2 HT 0-1 United of Manchester United of Manchester İNGNLP
25.01.2022 United of Manchester United of Manchester 3-4 HT 2-3 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
09.11.2021 Whitby Town Whitby Town 1-0 HT 1-0 United of Manchester United of Manchester İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Whitby Town vs United of Manchester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

United of Manchester nicked a narrow win over Whitby Town 2-1 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Whitby Town at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Whitby Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Whitby Town and 1.60 for United of Manchester.

What was the final score of Whitby Town vs United of Manchester?

Whitby Town 1-2 United of Manchester in the England - Non League Premier on 26/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Whitby Town vs United of Manchester?

Before kick-off our model rated a Whitby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Whitby Town 55%, draw 22%, United of Manchester 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Whitby Town), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Whitby Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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