Galler 0-0 Polonya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Euro Qualifiers, 26 Mar 2024

Galler
0-0 HT 0-0
Polonya
📅26/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Euro Qualifiers – 2024

Galler vs Polonya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.53
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.08
2-3 Goals
45%
1.83
4-5 Goals
17%
6.14
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.07
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
3%
14.55
X/1 EV+ ✗
29%
5.13
X/2
4%
5.37
X/X
17%
3.36
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
17%
4.34
2/X
6%
14.6
Value flag · X/1 at 5.13 — our 29% vs market 14.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
36%
+7.8pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.9pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-2.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.5pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Galler v Polonya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galler EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonya EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
0.57/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.59
-23% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / -35%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
246 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 76%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
16.0 Crosses 19.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 4.6

Galler vs Polonya Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galler
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Polonya
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.93 xG 1.07
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
303 Passes 350
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.09.2022 Galler Galler 0-1 HT 0-0 Polonya Polonya AVUL
01.06.2022 Polonya Polonya 2-1 HT 0-0 Galler Galler AVUL
11.02.2009 Galler Galler 0-1 HT 0-0 Polonya Polonya HAZ
07.09.2005 Polonya Polonya 1-0 HT 0-0 Galler Galler DKE
13.10.2004 Galler Galler 2-3 HT 0-0 Polonya Polonya DKE

Galler 0-0 Polonya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galler
0-0
AWAY Polonya
0.85 xG 0.62
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 6
376 Passes 573
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Galler vs Polonya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galler and Polonya played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Galler at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Galler had 42% of the ball to Polonya's 58%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.85 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Polonya led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Galler and 1.60 for Polonya.

What was the final score of Galler vs Polonya?

Galler 0-0 Polonya in the Euro Qualifiers on 26/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galler vs Polonya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galler win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Galler 44%, draw 26%, Polonya 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Galler) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Galler) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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