Delfin 1-1 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 26 Mar 2024

Delfin
1-1 HT 0-1
Libertad
📅26/03/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Delfin vs Libertad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.78
Over 2.5
39%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-10.1pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.0pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.4pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Delfin v Libertad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Delfin EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 19%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.64/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.60
-23% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
21.9 Crosses 11.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.5

Delfin vs Libertad Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Delfin
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Libertad
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.03 xG 0.91
45% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
221 Passes 282
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
17.08.2023 Libertad Libertad 1-3 HT 0-1 Delfin Delfin EKV1
18.03.2023 Delfin Delfin 3-2 HT 2-1 Libertad Libertad EKV1

Delfin 1-1 Libertad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Delfin
1-1
AWAY Libertad
2.67 xG 0.51
61% Ball Possession 39%
21 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
310 Passes 193
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
42 Box Touches 8
25 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Delfin vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Delfin and Libertad couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Delfin at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Delfin had 61% of the ball to Libertad's 39%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 2.67 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Delfin had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Delfin and 1.50 for Libertad.

What was the final score of Delfin vs Libertad?

Delfin 1-1 Libertad in the Ecuador - Premier on 26/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Delfin vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Delfin win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Delfin 51%, draw 25%, Libertad 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Delfin), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Delfin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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