Union Magdalena 2-3 Leones FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera B, 26 Mar 2024

📅26/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.25
Draw
35%
3.45
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
Over
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
64%
No
36%
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
35%
4-5
32%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
12%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
28%
Home Win
41%
-12.3pp
34%
Draw
26%
+8.7pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Magdalena The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Leones FC The Market 37%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -12%
1.15/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.90
-6% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +78% / -44%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
319 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Magdalena
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Leones FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
04.09.2021 Leones FC Leones FC 3-0 HT 3-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOLB
09.03.2021 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 2-0 HT 2-0 Leones FC Leones FC KOLB
02.10.2020 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 1-3 HT 0-2 Leones FC Leones FC KOLK
24.09.2020 Leones FC Leones FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOLK
POST-MATCH Union Magdalena vs Leones FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones FC edged past Union Magdalena 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (28% / 34% / 37%) promised a tight game; Leones FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (64%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Leones FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Union Magdalena and 1.75 for Leones FC.

What was the final score of Union Magdalena vs Leones FC?

Union Magdalena 2-3 Leones FC in the Colombia - Primera B on 26/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Magdalena vs Leones FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leones FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Union Magdalena 28%, draw 34%, Leones FC 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leones FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leones FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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