Orsomarso 4-2 Cortulua Tulua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera B, 26 Mar 2024

📅26/03/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
40%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
Over Pick
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
43%
4-5
21%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
36%
Home Win
24%
+12.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
41%
Away Win
52%
-11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orsomarso The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Cortulua Tulua The Market 56%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
0.68/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.95/0.68
-40% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +65%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
304 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orsomarso
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Cortulua Tulua
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
11 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 5
11.02.2024 Cortulua Tulua Cortulua Tulua 0-1 HT 0-0 Orsomarso Orsomarso KOLB
09.09.2023 Cortulua Tulua Cortulua Tulua 3-0 HT 2-0 Orsomarso Orsomarso KOLB
02.04.2023 Orsomarso Orsomarso 0-1 HT 0-0 Cortulua Tulua Cortulua Tulua KOLB
12.10.2021 Cortulua Tulua Cortulua Tulua 1-1 HT 1-0 Orsomarso Orsomarso KOLB
03.04.2021 Orsomarso Orsomarso 1-2 HT 0-2 Cortulua Tulua Cortulua Tulua KOLB
POST-MATCH Orsomarso vs Cortulua Tulua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orsomarso saw off Cortulua Tulua 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 41% — and on the day Orsomarso made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cortulua Tulua led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Orsomarso and 1.40 for Cortulua Tulua.

What was the final score of Orsomarso vs Cortulua Tulua?

Orsomarso 4-2 Cortulua Tulua in the Colombia - Primera B on 26/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orsomarso vs Cortulua Tulua?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cortulua Tulua win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Orsomarso 36%, draw 24%, Cortulua Tulua 41%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cortulua Tulua) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cortulua Tulua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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26 Mar 2024
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