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Arsenal (K) vs Real Madrid (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arsenal (K) v Real Madrid (K) — Team-Based Signals
Arsenal (K) vs Real Madrid (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
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Arsenal (K) 3-0 Real Madrid (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Arsenal (K) cruised past Real Madrid (K) 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Arsenal (K) had 66% of the ball to Real Madrid (K)'s 34%, shots finished 18-4, expected goals 2.42 to 0.55.
What was the final score of Arsenal (K) vs Real Madrid (K)?
Arsenal (K) 3-0 Real Madrid (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 26/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arsenal (K) vs Real Madrid (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Arsenal (K) 51%, draw 25%, Real Madrid (K) 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.