Sunshine Stars 0-0 Heartland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 26 Mar 2025

📅26/03/2025 · 🕒18:09 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.57
Draw
36%
3.54
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.52
Over 2.5
30%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.51
No
63%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
60%
-18.2pp
36%
Draw
25%
+10.5pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+7.8pp
70%
Under 2.5
62%
+7.8pp
30%
Over 2.5
38%
-7.8pp
37%
BTTS Yes
36%
+1.1pp
63%
BTTS No
64%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunshine Stars EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Heartland EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.64/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.58
+4% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
304 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunshine Stars
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Heartland
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
10.11.2024 Heartland Heartland 1-0 HT 1-0 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars NIJ
02.03.2022 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars 3-1 HT 2-0 Heartland Heartland NIJ
21.02.2021 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars 1-1 HT 0-1 Heartland Heartland NIJ
POST-MATCH Sunshine Stars vs Heartland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunshine Stars and Heartland played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Sunshine Stars at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sunshine Stars and 1.00 for Heartland.

What was the final score of Sunshine Stars vs Heartland?

Sunshine Stars 0-0 Heartland in the Nigeria NPFL on 26/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunshine Stars vs Heartland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sunshine Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sunshine Stars 42%, draw 36%, Heartland 23%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sunshine Stars) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sunshine Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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