Etimesgut Spor 1-1 Nevşehir Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 26 Mar 2025

📅26/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.29
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.68
Over 2.5
52%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
3.23
No
56%
1.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Etimesgut Spor win — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
73%
-7.4pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.8pp
14%
Away Win
9%
+5.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
27%
+17.2pp
56%
BTTS No
73%
-17.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etimesgut Spor EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Nevşehir Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 11%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
2.49/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.23/1.73
+9% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / +21%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
404 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etimesgut Spor
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Nevşehir Belediyespor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
17.11.2024 Nevşehir Belediyespor Nevşehir Belediyespor 0-0 HT 0-0 Etimesgut Spor Etimesgut Spor S3-2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Etimesgut Spor
1-1
AWAY Nevşehir Belediyespor
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Etimesgut Spor vs Nevşehir Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etimesgut Spor and Nevşehir Belediyespor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Etimesgut Spor at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Etimesgut Spor had 59% of the ball to Nevşehir Belediyespor's 41%, shots finished 17-10.

What was the final score of Etimesgut Spor vs Nevşehir Belediyespor?

Etimesgut Spor 1-1 Nevşehir Belediyespor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 26/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etimesgut Spor vs Nevşehir Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etimesgut Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Etimesgut Spor 66%, draw 20%, Nevşehir Belediyespor 14%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Etimesgut Spor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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