Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor 1-2 Alanya Kestelspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 26 Mar 2025

📅26/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
28%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.59
Over 2.5
49%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
36%
+8.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
28%
Away Win
34%
-6.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Alanya Kestelspor EU Bookmakers 38%
+48% / +48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.53
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor
1-2
AWAY Alanya Kestelspor
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor vs Alanya Kestelspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alanya Kestelspor nicked a narrow win over Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor had 52% of the ball to Alanya Kestelspor's 48%, shots finished 7-9.

What was the final score of Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor vs Alanya Kestelspor?

Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor 1-2 Alanya Kestelspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 26/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor vs Alanya Kestelspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor 45%, draw 27%, Alanya Kestelspor 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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