Kızılyıldız 5-3 OFK Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Cup, 26 Mar 2025

📅26/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.16
Draw
19%
7.13
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.98
Over 2.5
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
82%
-13.6pp
19%
Draw
11%
+7.9pp
12%
Away Win
7%
+5.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.5pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY OFK Beograd EU Bookmakers 9%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+30% / +126% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
480 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kızılyıldız
1W-0D-0L
AWAY OFK Beograd
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.65 xG 1.37
61% Ball Possession 39%
24 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 0
417 Passes 233
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
42 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 0-1 HT 0-0 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kızılyıldız
5-3
AWAY OFK Beograd
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kızılyıldız vs OFK Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız beat OFK Beograd 5-3. The game was level at 3-3 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Kızılyıldız had 66% of the ball to OFK Beograd's 34%, shots finished 18-9.

What was the final score of Kızılyıldız vs OFK Beograd?

Kızılyıldız 5-3 OFK Beograd in the Serbia - Cup on 26/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kızılyıldız vs OFK Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Kızılyıldız 68%, draw 19%, OFK Beograd 12%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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