OFK Beograd 0-1 Kızılyıldız — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
12.23
Draw
19%
7.78
Away
65%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.98
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.33
No
49%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
27%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
5%
+11.0pp
19%
Draw
9%
+9.2pp
65%
Away Win
85%
-20.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
39%
+11.8pp
49%
BTTS No
61%
-11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFK Beograd EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 91%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
0.59/2.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.74/0.61
-10% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +5%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
219 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.9
Crosses 25.6
Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFK Beograd
0-1
AWAY Kızılyıldız
1.37 xG 2.65
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 6
233 Passes 417
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 42
7 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH OFK Beograd vs Kızılyıldız
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız nicked a narrow win over OFK Beograd 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, OFK Beograd had 39% of the ball to Kızılyıldız's 61%, shots finished 7-24, expected goals 1.37 to 2.65 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kızılyıldız's control.

What was the final score of OFK Beograd vs Kızılyıldız?

OFK Beograd 0-1 Kızılyıldız in the Serbia - Super League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFK Beograd vs Kızılyıldız?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split OFK Beograd 16%, draw 19%, Kızılyıldız 65%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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