Napredak Krusevac 2-1 Jedinstvo Ub — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.61
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
29%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
22%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
58%
-19.3pp
32%
Draw
24%
+8.2pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+11.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.6pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Jedinstvo Ub EU Bookmakers 21%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.18/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-14% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
303 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
21.9 Crosses 20.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napredak Krusevac
2-1
AWAY Jedinstvo Ub
2.92 xG 1.16
55% Ball Possession 45%
26 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
326 Passes 251
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
47 Box Touches 18
42 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Napredak Krusevac vs Jedinstvo Ub
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napredak Krusevac nicked a narrow win over Jedinstvo Ub 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 29% — and on the day Napredak Krusevac made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Napredak Krusevac had 55% of the ball to Jedinstvo Ub's 45%, shots finished 26-9, expected goals 2.92 to 1.16 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Napredak Krusevac's control.

What was the final score of Napredak Krusevac vs Jedinstvo Ub?

Napredak Krusevac 2-1 Jedinstvo Ub in the Serbia - Super League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napredak Krusevac vs Jedinstvo Ub?

Before kick-off our model rated a Napredak Krusevac win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Napredak Krusevac 39%, draw 32%, Jedinstvo Ub 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napredak Krusevac) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Napredak Krusevac) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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