Zeleznicar Pancevo 3-3 Backa Topola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
29%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
34%
+9.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
29%
Away Win
37%
-8.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zeleznicar Pancevo EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
1.00/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.93
+14% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
228 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 74%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
21.8 Crosses 16.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zeleznicar Pancevo
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Backa Topola
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
1.62 xG 2.44
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
334 Passes 370
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 2-3 HT 0-2 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
16.09.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 6-3 HT 3-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRP
09.11.2022 Backa Topola Backa Topola 2-0 HT 2-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRBK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zeleznicar Pancevo
3-3
AWAY Backa Topola
2.41 xG 1.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
295 Passes 473
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Backa Topola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zeleznicar Pancevo and Backa Topola shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Zeleznicar Pancevo at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zeleznicar Pancevo had 41% of the ball to Backa Topola's 59%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 2.41 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Backa Topola led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Zeleznicar Pancevo and 3.67 for Backa Topola.

What was the final score of Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Backa Topola?

Zeleznicar Pancevo 3-3 Backa Topola in the Serbia - Super League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Backa Topola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zeleznicar Pancevo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Zeleznicar Pancevo 44%, draw 27%, Backa Topola 29%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zeleznicar Pancevo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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