İnegölspor 1-1 Fethiyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 26 Mar 2025

📅26/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
41%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.56
Over 2.5
36%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.96
No
63%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
27%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-4.7pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.9pp
41%
Away Win
32%
+8.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
60%
+4.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
40%
-4.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
47%
-9.4pp
63%
BTTS No
53%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İnegölspor EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Fethiyespor EU Bookmakers 36%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.00/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.30
-15% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
270 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İnegölspor
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Fethiyespor
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.11.2024 Fethiyespor Fethiyespor 0-0 HT 0-0 İnegölspor İnegölspor T2L-B
03.09.2023 İnegölspor İnegölspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Fethiyespor Fethiyespor S2-K
24.05.2013 Fethiyespor Fethiyespor 1-0 HT 1-0 İnegölspor İnegölspor S2P
30.07.2007 Fethiyespor Fethiyespor 4-1 HT 2-1 İnegölspor İnegölspor MÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İnegölspor
1-1
AWAY Fethiyespor
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH İnegölspor vs Fethiyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İnegölspor and Fethiyespor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Fethiyespor at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, İnegölspor had 56% of the ball to Fethiyespor's 44%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fethiyespor led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for İnegölspor and 1.25 for Fethiyespor.

What was the final score of İnegölspor vs Fethiyespor?

İnegölspor 1-1 Fethiyespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 26/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İnegölspor vs Fethiyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fethiyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split İnegölspor 32%, draw 27%, Fethiyespor 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fethiyespor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fethiyespor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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