İskenderunspor A.Ş. 3-3 24Erzincanspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 26 Mar 2025

📅26/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.4pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.0pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.3pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İskenderunspor A.Ş. EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY 24Erzincanspor EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.66/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/3.01
-11% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +109% / -36%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
430 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İskenderunspor A.Ş.
0W-0D-2L
AWAY 24Erzincanspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.11.2024 24Erzincanspor 24Erzincanspor 2-1 HT 2-1 İskenderunspor A.Ş. İskenderunspor A.Ş. T2L-B
22.10.2023 İskenderunspor A.Ş. İskenderunspor A.Ş. 1-4 HT 0-2 24Erzincanspor 24Erzincanspor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İskenderunspor A.Ş.
3-3
AWAY 24Erzincanspor
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH İskenderunspor A.Ş. vs 24Erzincanspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İskenderunspor A.Ş. and 24Erzincanspor shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 3-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had İskenderunspor A.Ş. at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, İskenderunspor A.Ş. had 65% of the ball to 24Erzincanspor's 35%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, 24Erzincanspor led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for İskenderunspor A.Ş. and 3.00 for 24Erzincanspor.

What was the final score of İskenderunspor A.Ş. vs 24Erzincanspor?

İskenderunspor A.Ş. 3-3 24Erzincanspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 26/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İskenderunspor A.Ş. vs 24Erzincanspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a İskenderunspor A.Ş. win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split İskenderunspor A.Ş. 55%, draw 26%, 24Erzincanspor 19%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İskenderunspor A.Ş.) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İskenderunspor A.Ş.) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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