Bucaspor 1928 4-1 Nazilli Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 26 Mar 2025

📅26/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.16
Draw
20%
7.13
Away
18%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Bucaspor 1928 win — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
82%
-20.5pp
20%
Draw
12%
+8.3pp
18%
Away Win
6%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bucaspor 1928 EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Nazilli Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 8%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.27/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/2.56
-7% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -15%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
243 · 91% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 112 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bucaspor 1928
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Nazilli Belediyespor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 3-1 HT 3-0 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor T2L-K
12.02.2022 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 1-1 HT 0-0 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor T2L-K
06.10.2021 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor 1-0 HT 0-0 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 T2L-K
11.09.2019 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 2-2 HT 1-1 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bucaspor 1928
4-1
AWAY Nazilli Belediyespor
57% Ball Possession 43%
27 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Bucaspor 1928 vs Nazilli Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bucaspor 1928 swept aside Nazilli Belediyespor 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bucaspor 1928 as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Bucaspor 1928 had 57% of the ball to Nazilli Belediyespor's 43%, shots finished 27-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bucaspor 1928 and 1.25 for Nazilli Belediyespor.

What was the final score of Bucaspor 1928 vs Nazilli Belediyespor?

Bucaspor 1928 4-1 Nazilli Belediyespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 26/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bucaspor 1928 vs Nazilli Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bucaspor 1928 win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Bucaspor 1928 62%, draw 20%, Nazilli Belediyespor 18%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bucaspor 1928), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bucaspor 1928) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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