Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-0 Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 26 Mar 2025

📅26/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.47
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Karacabey Belediye Spor win — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-11.0pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.1pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+4.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü EU Bookmakers 18%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.56/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.89
+47% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +83%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor
1-0
AWAY Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karacabey Belediye Spor squeezed past Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Karacabey Belediye Spor as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Karacabey Belediye Spor had 58% of the ball to Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü's 42%, shots finished 15-5.

What was the final score of Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü?

Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-0 Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 26/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karacabey Belediye Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Karacabey Belediye Spor 53%, draw 28%, Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karacabey Belediye Spor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Karacabey Belediye Spor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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